Whether one calls it an artful statistical sleight of hand or poor scientific communication, several non-peer-reviewed climate attribution reports have provided misleading information that poorly informs society.
The most recent, of course, is the World Weather Attribution (WWA) report on the Northwest heatwave, which provoked stark headlines throughout the planet (see below for a sample). Yes, even the Seattle Times featured it.
This attribution report, and most media stories that covered it, suggested a central role for global warming for the heatwave. As demonstrated in my previous blog, their narrative simply does not hold up to careful examination.
This blog will explain why their basic framing and approach is problematic, leading readers (and most of the media) to incorrect conclusions.
Sometimes it takes a magician to reveal the methods of another practitioner of the…